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Abstract Severe storms produce hazardous weather phenomena, such as large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. However, relationships between convective parameters and confirmed severe weather occurrences are poorly quantified in south-central Brazil. This study explores severe weather reports and measurements from newly available datasets. Hail, damaging wind, and tornado reports are sourced from the PREVOTS project from June 2018 to December 2021, while measurements of convectively induced wind gusts from 1996 to 2019 are obtained from METAR reports and from Brazil’s operational network of automated weather stations. Proximal convective parameters were computed from ERA5 reanalysis for these reports and used to perform a discriminant analysis using mixed-layer CAPE and deep-layer shear (DLS). Compared to other regions, thermodynamic parameters associated with severe weather episodes exhibit lower magnitudes in south-central Brazil. DLS displays better performance in distinguishing different types of hazardous weather, but does not discriminate well between distinct severity levels. To address the sensitivity of the discriminant analysis to distinct environmental regimes and hazard types, five different discriminants are assessed. These include discriminants for any severe storm, severe hail only, severe wind gust only, and all environments but broken into “high” and “low” CAPE regimes. The best performance of the discriminant analysis is found for the “high” CAPE regime, followed by the severe wind regime. All discriminants demonstrate that DLS plays a more important role in conditioning Brazilian severe storm environments than other regions, confirming the need to ensure that parameters and discriminants are tuned to local severe weather conditions. 

Abstract Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies caused by a warm core eddy (WCE) in the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (SWA) rendered a crucial influence on modifying the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL). During the first cruise to support the Antarctic Modeling and Observation System (ATMOS) project, a WCE that was shed from the Brazil Current was sampled. Apart from traditional meteorological measurements, we used the Eddy Covariance method to directly measure the ocean–atmosphere sensible heat, latent heat, momentum, and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) fluxes. The mechanisms of pressure adjustment and vertical mixing that can make the MABL unstable were both identified. The WCE also acted to increase the surface winds and heat fluxes from the ocean to the atmosphere. Oceanic regions at middle and high latitudes are expected to absorb atmospheric CO 2 , and are thereby considered as sinks, due to their cold waters. Instead, the presence of this WCE in midlatitudes, surrounded by predominantly cold waters, caused the ocean to locally act as a CO 2 source. The contribution to the atmosphere was estimated as 0.3 ± 0.04 mmol m −2 day −1 , averaged over the sampling period. The CO 2 transfer velocity coefficient ( K ) was determined using a quadratic fit and showed an adequate representation of ocean–atmosphere fluxes. The ocean–atmosphere CO 2 , momentum, and heat fluxes were each closely correlated with the SST. The increase of SST inside the WCE clearly resulted in larger magnitudes of all of the ocean–atmosphere fluxes studied here. This study adds to our understanding of how oceanic mesoscale structures, such as this WCE, affect the overlying atmosphere.